When the effects marketing was booming prior to August 2007 many new property investors entered the buy-to-let market, buying one and two bed properties with light-to-get mortgages. The market has now dramatically changed and here we look at the predictions for the buy-to-let market in 2009.
Firstly there is a new type of hotelier - homeowners who are unable to sell their properties are renting them out. The homeowner may set their rental cost at only the amount that they need to cover the mortgage rather than on furnish rates and also at a rate that will as good as guarantee a tenant. The condition of homeowner property is also generally of a very high beau id and as a result this new competition drives down previous market rates. This generally affects larger, family properties rather than smaller flats.
Availability of invest in is dramatically reduced and as a result the profile of a property investor has changed. Prior to the credit crunch no set aside was needed - a mortgage could be given on the expected yield provided the rental yields were 125% of the mortgage repayments. Now, a touchstone 25% deposit is required and the applicant must have a good credit history. When mortgages were easily obtainable, buyers could form around a property quickly i.e. buy, renovate and sell on at a profit, and then repeat the process, cashing in not only on the price increase due to the renovation calling but also on the cash increase from the rising property prices. Now, the profile of the property investor will be someone who has cash for a sizable part, a good credit history, and someone who is willing to hold onto the property for a few years waiting for the property market and thrift to turn around.
And for the newer property developers? Well, for some who kept securely on top of the figures or those that did not overstretch themselves then they should survive the downturn. But for those also fledgeling property developers who perhaps bought property without fully researching the possible pitfalls, well, they could be in trouble. If they were assuming to offer on their property quickly and at a profit, they are likely to be selling it at a loss, if they can sell it at all. Or, possibly they are unable to rent out their real estate and need to cover the mortgages themselves. Or they have taken on too many properties and find that their own employment is at risk and their main source of income will not be the shelter it was. Or they were keener to buy a set number of properties rather than buying property that met strict criteria i.e. properties that would yield a set positive coin of the realm flow each month. Or they have come to the end of a mortgage deal and now the mortgage rates for buy-to-let are less favorable. The list could go on…
However, for the hallmark investor who ticks all the right boxes 2009 could be a good year. The key is that you are credit safe in order to fix a mortgage. If you can secure a mortgage or have enough cash, then you will be able to find some bargains, particularly in the latter half of the year as the recession continues to bit. If you are thinking of buying an investment property you need to consider the five following points:
1. Consider it to be a mid-protracted term investment - the property market is likely to fall and then stabilize for a few years before rising again.
2. Your expected rental cede has to be realistic and has to cover the costs of the mortgage, insurance, maintenance costs and void periods.
3. Although interest rates have fallen again, they will go back up at some apex - you need to factor this into your costs, or choose a mid to long term fixed rate mortgage to avoid unfavorable notwithstanding changes.
4. Research and know where you want to buy property and be sure to stay within this patch - your rental throw in the towel depends on it.
5. Always make a low offer when purchasing, stick to your figures and know your limits.
2009 could be a huge year for property investors providing you research, plan and take care at every turn.
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